At the onset of the American League Championship Series, the Yankees were a solid baseball betting odds favorite to take out the Guardians. In game one at Yankee Stadium, Juan Soto ignited the Yankees with a home run. Also, Giancarlo Stanton added a round-tripper, and Cleveland’s pitching fell apart. Also, in New York, game two saw the Yankees prevail 6-3 as Aaron Judge got his first home run of the postseason. Now, the series shifts to Cleveland for game three on Thursday. The Guardians will try and get back into the series on Thursday.
2024 American League Championship Series Game 3 New York Yankees at Cleveland Guardians
| Date and Time: | Thursday, October 17, 2024, 5:08 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH |
| TV Coverage: | TBS |
| Betting Online Odds at SBG: | Click Here |
Yankees at Guardians Betting Odds Analysis
Overall, this season, New York was +174 against the money line and +691 against the run line. New York was 88-69 over the sports betting total this season. By contrast, this season, Cleveland was +1174 against the money line and +469 against the run line. Cleveland was 69-83 under the total this season.
Specifically in the series between the Yankees at Guardians, New York got the money in nine of their last 12 games against Cleveland. Also, ten of the last 15 games between New York and Cleveland went under the total. Correlate that in Cleveland, the Yankees got the money in five of their last seven games with the Guardians. Also, only four of the most recent 11 games between these teams in Cleveland went over the total.
Yankees RHP Clarke Schmidt starts Thursday at Cleveland. Previously, he allowed two runs and four hits over 4 2/3 innings in the ALCS against Kansas City. Schmidt faced the Guardians once this year. Correlate that he pitched five scoreless innings before allowing a pair of runs in a 3-2 victory. Cleveland wouldn’t commit to a starter, but LHP Matthew Boyd is a possibility.
ALCS Game 2 Recap
Aaron Judge’s first home run of the postseason, a two-run, seventh-inning drive, the New York Yankees. Specifically, Judge, who entered with just one RBI in the playoffs, hit a sacrifice fly in a two-run second. Previously, Cleveland intentionally walked Juan Soto to load the bases. Judge led the major leagues with 58 homers and 144 RBI.
Cleveland’s Tanner Bibee got just four outs in the shortest start of his professional career. In like manner, an erratic Gerrit Cole was chased after four walks in 4 1/3 innings.
New York Yankees SBG Team Overview
Overall, the New York Yankees were 94-68 straight up and 86-69 over/under the total. New York won the American League East Division standings. Baltimore was three games behind the Yankees in the AL East Division race. Late on, the Yankees have covered five out of their last six games. The Yankees have gone over the total in one of their previous five matchups.
To summarize, New York had MLB metrics of 3rd for runs production and 1st for home runs. Additionally, New York ranked 8th for earned run average, 14th for quality starts, and 25th for fewest errors committed. Also, New York ranked 6th for bullpen ERA.
Cleveland Guardians SBG Team Overview
In sum, the Cleveland Guardians were 92-69 straight up and 69-83 over/under the total. Cleveland finished first in the American League Central Division standings. Kansas City was six games behind the Guardians in the AL Central Division race. Late on, the Guardians covered only three out of their last five games. The Guardians have gone over the total in two of their previous ten matchups.
To summarize, Cleveland had MLB metrics of 14th for runs production and 13th for home runs. Additionally, Cleveland ranked 4th for earned run average, 28th for quality starts, and 17th for fewest errors committed. Also, Cleveland ranked 1st for bullpen ERA.
Yankees at Guardians SBG Free Pick
As mentioned earlier, the Yankees consistently beat the MLB odds against Cleveland and at Progressive Field. Additionally, New York has a vastly superior lineup. Most important of all, the Yankees offer more value for a smaller price on the road.
Yankees at Guardians SBG Best Bet: New York Yankees and Under the Total.