Los Angeles Angels vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Odds & Picks (07/04/2023)

Los Angeles Angels vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Odds & Picks (07-04-2023)

The San Diego Padres are one of the most disappointing teams on the baseball betting odds board in 2023. At the season’s onset, the Padres were rated as a fait accompli for the National League Playoffs. San Diego began the campaign with the largest payroll in team history. However, none of this has translated into wins on the field or against the oddsmakers. On the other hand, the Los Angeles Angels have been a pleasant surprise. With Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout, the Angels have two AL Most Valuable Player superstars. But winning teams have been rare.

Los Angeles Angels vs. San Diego Padres MLB Betting Information

Date and Time:Tuesday, July 4, 2023, 6:40 p.m. ET
Location:Petco Park, San Diego, CA
TV Coverage:TBS
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Angels+1½ (-200)7½ (EV)+115
Padres-1½ (+170)7½ (-120)-125
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Angels at Padres SBG Betting Odds Analysis

So far, the Angels are breaking even with the offshore betting moneyline. Los Angeles is in the red against the runline in 2023. At the same time, Los Angeles is trending slightly under the total.

Of major concern is that the Padres are one of the biggest moneyline losers on the board. Additionally, San Diego has been a terrible runline value. San Diego has been a reliable under-the-total play in 2023.

Los Angeles Angels Team Overview

Overall, the Los Angeles Angels are 44-40 straight up and 38-41-5 over/under the total. Los Angeles is 3rd in the American League West Division standings. In the AL West Division race, LA is seven games behind the Texas Rangers. Late on, the Angels have covered seven out of their last ten games. The Angeles have gone under the total in four of their previous six matchups. Los Angeles ranks 7th in MLB for run production and 16th for earned run average.

Namely, right-hander Jaime Barria is the probable starter for the Angeles. Barria is 2-3 with a 2.92 earned run average and 1.18 WHIP. The Angels won four of his last five appearances. Los Angeles ranks 8th for bullpen ERA. In turn, closer Carlos Estevez is 2-1 with a 1.91 ERA with 20 saves in 20 opportunities. Shohei Ohtani has produced 60 runs, 30 home runs, and 67 runs batted in.

San Diego Padres Team Overview

In sum, the San Diego Padres are 37-45 straight up and 31-48-3 over/under the total. San Diego is 4th in the National League West Division standings. San Diego is 11 games behind the Arizona Diamondbacks in the National League West Division race. Late on, the Padres have covered two out of their last ten games. The Padres have gone under the total in one of their previous eight matchups. San Diego ranks 20th for run production and 6th for earned run average.

Right-hander Joe Musgrove is the probable starter for San Diego. Overall, Musgrove is 6-2 with a 3.80 earned run average and 1.27 WHIP. San Diego won three of his last four starts. In turn, San Diego ranks 3rd in bullpen ERA. Closer Josh Hader is 0-1 with a 1.21 earned run average with 18 saves in 21 opportunities. Fernando Tatis has produced 44 runs, 15 home runs, 38 runs batted in.

Angels at Padres SBG Free Pick

San Diego beat the MLB odds in eight of their previous ten games against the Angels. Six of the last nine games in this series went under the total. With Musgrove on the hill, San Diego makes the most sense.

Angels at Padres SBG Best Bet: San Diego Padres.