Bryce Harper changed the expectations of the Phillies upon his 2019 arrival. Philadelphia received blind backing that was unfounded. Public mania pushed the Phillies into overlay status ever since. To his credit, Harper has done his part. However, Philadelphia’s pitching staff is a baseball betting liability. Pitching is what has made the Braves into National League East champions. So far Atlanta hurlers have not quite been up to standard. A powerful lineup has helped cover for that. Run production is what is keeping the Braves in the NL East lead. Starting pitching must pick up the pace to ensure playoffs.
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies
Date and Time: | Sunday, August 30, 2020, 7 p.m. ET |
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Location: | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania |
Braves vs. Phillies TV Coverage: | ESPN |
Braves vs. Phillies SBG Odds: | Click Here |
Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies Betting SBG Odds Analysis
Owing to their consecutive division tiles the Braves carry considerable sportsbook cache. Philadelphia can’t match that appeal to the wagering public. The question comes down to price and value. What’s more, the question is if Atlanta is worth what gamblers have to outlay. By contrast, are the Phillies a capable risk as a dog? Some Braves backers may prefer the run line to avoid paying the chalk price.
Atlanta Braves Team Overview
First place Atlanta is 16-12 with, 13 under. MLB metrics have the Braves seventh for runs scored and 14th for earned run average. Atlanta has the fourth-best bullpen in MLB. Correlate the Braves deep lineup. Namely, Freddie Freeman, Marcell Ozuna, and Ronald Acuna keep pitchers honest. This reliable hitting has covered for inconsistent starting pitching.
Key Atlanta Braves: RHSP Josh Tomlin 1-1, 3.93 ERA, 18.1 IP, 18 H, 3 HR, 4 BB, 23 SO, 1.20 WHIP, Closer Mark Melancon 2-0, 2.00 ERA, 4 SV, 5 SVOPP, 9.0 IP, 8 H, 0 HR, 3 BB, 5 SO, 1.22 WHIP, LF Marcell Ozuna .277 AVG, .373 OBP, .535 SLG, .908 OPS, 16 R, 5 2B, 0
3B, 7 HR, 19 RBI, 0 SB
Philadelphia Phillies Team Overview
The last place has been, the frequent home of the, 2020 Phillies. Philadelphia is 11-14 with only 11 overs. MLB metrics have them second for run production, but 27th for earned run average. Of major concern is the worst bullpen in all of baseball. There is no designated closer. Bryce Harper has delivered. He has simply gotten no help.
Key Philadelphia Phillies: RHSP Jake Arrieta 2-3, 4.32 ERA, 25.0 IP, 12 H, 4 HR, 7 BB, 18 SO, 1.28 WHIP, RF Bryce Harper .321 AVG, .460 OBP, .654 SLG, 1.114 OPS 23 R, 3 2B, 1 3B, 7 HR, 19 RBI, 4 SB
Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Braves are:
- 4-7 in their last 11 away games
- 6-5-1 over the total on the road
- 6-5 in their last 11 away games vs. The Phillies
- 7-3-1 over the total at Philadelphia
The Phillies are:
- 4-5 in their last nine home games
- 5-6-2 under the total at Citizens Bank Park
- 8-11 in their last 19 overall games with the Braves
- 5-3 over the total against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Best Bet
In this situation, Philadelphia’s pitching prevents a baseball betting recommendation. Atlanta has the juice to cover the run line.
Braves vs. Phillies SBG Best Bet: Atlanta Braves run line