Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Updates & Picks (06/22/2023)

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Miami Marlins have something in common. At the onset of the season, Pittsburgh and Miami were ignored on the baseball betting odds future market. And with plenty of good reason. The Pirates and Marlins are low-revenue and small payroll teams. Additionally, neither has any recent record of success. Starting with the 2023 season, Pittsburgh and Miami look potentially ready to break out as contenders. Pittsburgh has stumbled a bit after a good start. Meanwhile, Miami continues to surprise.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Information

Date and Time:Thursday, June 22, 2023, 6:40 p.m. ET
Location:LoanDepot Park, Miami, Florida
TV Coverage:ESPN+
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Pirates+1½ (-180)7 (-115)+124
Marlins-1½ (+150)7 (-105)-134
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Pirates at Marlins SBG Betting Odds Analysis

On this occasion, we have two teams that are not popular sportsbook brands. Thus, the casual sector will lean toward Miami as the home favorite. But Sharps will look at a Pirates team getting the better price.

So far this season, Miami is one of the most profitable teams on the board. However, the Marlins have been a poor play on the run line. Miami has leaned under the total this season. In like manner, the Pirates have a solid profit for the 2023 season. Pittsburgh is a poor value on the run line. And then the Pirates are a slightly over team in the 2023 campaign.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Overview

Overall, the Pittsburgh Pirates are 34-35 straight up and 34-32-3 over/under the total. Pittsburgh is 3rd in the National League Central Division standings. Pittsburgh is one game behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central Division race. Of great concern is that the Pirates have covered two out of their last ten games. The Pirates have gone over the total in four of their previous six matchups.

Namely, Right-hander Mitch Keller is the probable starter for the Pirates. Keller is 8-3 with a 3.62 earned run average and 1.14 WHIP. The Pirates have dropped two of his most recent three starts. Meanwhile, closer David Bednar is 2-0 with 14 saves in 15 chances and a 1.73 ERA.

First among Pirate producers at the plate is Jack Suwinski. So far, Suwinski has 30 runs, 15 home runs, 35 runs batted in, and a .868 OPS.

Overall Pittsburgh ranks 20th for run production and 18th for earned run average. They rank 25th for the fewest errors committed. Further, the Pirates rank a dismal 22nd for bullpen ERA.

Miami Marlins Team Overview

In sum, the Miami Marlins are 41-31 straight up and 32-37-3 over/under the total. Miami is 2nd in the National League East Division standings. In the NL East Division race, Miami is five games behind the Atlanta Braves. Late on, the Marlins have covered seven out of their last ten games. The Marlins have gone over the total in six of their previous ten matchups.

Right-hander Braxton Garret is the probable starter for Miami. Garrett is 3-2 with a 3.88 earned run average and 1.22 WHIP. In turn, closer AJ Puk is 3-1 with a 2.18 ERA and nine saves in ten chances.

Jorge Soler leads the Marlins at the plate. In sum, Solar has 39 runs, 20 home runs, 42 runs batted in, and a .919 OPS.

Miami is a team that is outperforming its metrics. Consider the Marlins rank 26th for run production and 13th for staff earned run average. Miami is 27th for the fewest errors committed and 22nd for home runs.

Pirates at Marlins SBG Free Pick

As was previously noted, Miami is in better form with the MLB odds.

Pirates at Marlins SBG Best Bet: Miami Marlins.