Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Analysis & Picks (05/02/2023)

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Analysis & Picks (05-02-2023)

At the onset of the week, the Boston Red Sox were hovering around the .500 mark with the baseball betting odds. In many divisions, that would be a reason for optimism. But it is a good way to get buried in the American League East. To illuminate, the Tampa Bay Rays, Toronto Blue Jays, and Baltimore Orioles exploded out of the gate. While the omnipresent New York Yankees are likely to catch fire soon. Thus, Boston is falling further behind by the day. However, the Red Sox have an opportunity to make gains against Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Information

Date and Time:Tuesday, May 2, 2023, 7:10 p.m. ET
Location:Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
TV Coverage:TBS
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Blue Jays-1½ (+125)9½ (-110)-130
Red Sox+1½ (-145)9½ (-110)<+120/td>
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Blue Jays at Red Sox Betting Odds Analysis

This American League East sports betting matchup will see split betting action. To illuminate, the Red Sox will get most of the casual support. Squares stampede the betting window for action on the Boston brand. Especially when the Red Sox play at iconic Fenway Park. By contrast, sharps love nothing more than a quality road team. Toronto will get a price break in that role.

Toronto Blue Jays Overview

Overall, the Toronto Blue Jays are 18-9 straight up and 9-16-2 over/under the total. Toronto is 2nd in the American League East Division standings. In the AL East Division race, Toronto is five games behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Late on, the Blue Jays have covered eight out of their last ten games. The Blue Jays have gone under the total in nine of their previous ten matchups.

To summarize, Toronto has MLB metrics of 13th for runs production, 14th for OPS, and 18th for home runs. Additionally, Toronto ranks 11th for earned run average, 5th for WHIP, 2nd for quality starts, and 13th for bullpen efficiency. Also, Toronto ranks 9th for the fewest errors committed.

Accordingly, Matt Chapman leads the Blue Jays with 16 runs, five home runs, 19 RBI, a .459 on-base percentage, a .670 slugging percentage, and 1.129.

Yusei Kikuchi is the probable starting pitcher for Toronto. In sum, Kikuchi has a record of 4-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Top reliever Jordan Romano has a record of 2-1 with nine saves in ten opportunities. His ERA is 2.92 with a 1.14 WHIP.

Boston Red Sox Overview

In sum, the Boston Red Sox are 14-14 straight up and 19-9 over/under the total. Boston is 5th in the American League East Division standings. Boston is nine games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the AL East Division race. Late on, the Red Sox have covered two out of their last five games. The Red Sox have gone over the total in five of their previous seven matchups.

Boston has MLB metrics of 3rd for runs production, 7th for OPS, and 8th for home runs. Also, Boston ranks 26th for earned run average, 22nd for WHIP, 28th for quality starts, and 15th for bullpen efficiency. Boston ranks 24th for the fewest errors committed.

Overall, Adam Duvall leads the Red Sox with 11 runs, four home runs, 14 RBI, a .514 on-base percentage, a 1.030 slugging percentage, and 1.544 OPS.

Tanner Houck is the probable starting pitcher for Red Sox. In sum, Houck has a record of 3-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. And then closer Kenley Jansen has a record of 1-0 with six saves in seven opportunities. His ERA is 1.04 with a 1.04 WHIP.

Blue Jays at Red Sox SBG Free Pick

As mentioned earlier, Toronto is the better MLB odds value as the quality road team.

Blue Jays at Red Sox SBG Best Bet: Toronto Blue Jays.