Following two consecutive home court losses, the Miami Heat face NBA betting extinction. The Denver Nuggets lead Miami 3-1 in their best-of-seven series. As a result, Denver can clinch the 2023 NBA Finals championship with one more win. Game 5 is Monday night in Denver. But before anyone writes off the Heat, remember they have already taken out the top two seeds in the Eastern Conference. Maimi was given no chance to beat the Milwaukee Bucks and Boston Celtics. Yet they did. Also, Miami’s only win in this series occurred at Denver in Game 2.
2023 NBA Finals Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Monday, June 12, 2023, 8:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Ball Arena, Denver, CO. |
| TV Coverage: | ABC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | +9 (-110) | 209½ (-110) | +305 |  |
| Nuggets | -9 (-110) | 209½ (-110) | -390 | |
| ||||
2023 NBA Finals SBG Odds Overview
On this occasion, squares want nothing to do with the Miami Heat. And it is understandable as to why. Denver can clinch its first NBA championship with an online betting win on Monday night. That fact and the media hype surrounding it have caused a flood of money on the Nuggets. However, that sets up a contrarian value opportunity on the Heat.
Miami will draw the support of bargain hunters and contrarian players. Wise Guys always like a quality team at an enhanced price. Especially when the casual sector masses are all going to the obvious choice of conventional wisdom.
2023 NBA Finals Series Schedule
- Game 1: Nuggets 104, Heat 93
- Game 2: Heat 111, Nuggets 108
- Game 3: Nuggets 109, Heat 94
- Game 4: Nuggets 108, Heat 95
- Game 5: Monday at Denver, 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
- Game 6*: Thursday at Miami, 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
- Game 7*: Sunday, June 18 at Denver, 8 p.m. ET (ABC)
*If necessary
Miami Heat Team Overview
The Miami Heat finished 44-38 straight up, 31-49-2 against the spread, and 41-41 over/under the total. Late on, Miami has covered one out of their last four games. In comparison, the Heat has gone under the total in seven of its previous eight matchups.
In sum, Miami has NBA betting metrics of 30th for scoring offense, 28th for field goal percentage, 27th for 3-point field goal percentage, 2nd for free throw percentage, and 27th for offensive rebounding. And then on defense, the Heat have NBA metrics of 2nd for scoring defense, 22nd for field goal percentage permitted, 22nd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 6th for defensive rebounding.
Tops for Miami scorers is Jimmy Butler, with 27.2 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. And then Bam Adebayo adds 17.8 points and 9.8 rebounds per game.
Denver Nuggets Team Overview
The Denver Nuggets finished 53-29 straight up, 45-37 against the spread, and 37-44-1 over/under the total. Late on, Denver has covered five out of their last six games. In comparison, the Nuggets have gone under the total in four of its previous five matchups.
Overall, Denver has NBA metrics of 12th for scoring offense, 1st for field goal percentage, 4th for 3-point field goal percentage, 26th for free throw percentage, and 19th for offensive rebounding. By contrast, defensively, the Nuggets have NBA metrics of 8th for scoring defense, 20th for field goal percentage permitted, 3rd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 1st for defensive rebounding.
Leading the Denver scorers is Nikola Jokic, with 30.1 points, 13.3 rebounds, and 9.8 assists per game. Also, Jamal Murray adds 26.7 points and 5.5 rebounds, and 7.1 assists per contest.