Following a strong Denver win in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, gamblers were talking of a sweep. But in Game 2, Miami recovered with an impressive NBA betting win. Now the 2023 NBA Finals are tied 1-1. The series heads to Miami for games three and four. As a result of their Game 2 win, Miami has stolen home-court advantage for the series. Denver remains the favorite to win the NBA Finals. But the price has come down significantly. Of course, that is a public reaction to the Heat’s win in Game 2.
2023 NBA Finals Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
| Date and Time: | Wednesday, June 08, 2023, 8:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL. |
| TV Coverage: | ABC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -2½ (-105) | 214½ (-110) | -135 |  |
| Heat | +2½ (-115) | 214½ (-110) | +115 | |
| ||||
2023 NBA Finals SBG Odds Overview
Miami has shown the grit and character of a team that can’t be killed off. But Denver has the best player on the court with Nikola Jokic. Still, the Heat have proven to be the most resilient team in the 2023 NBA Playoffs.
Naturally, the sportsbook public has overreacted to the Game 2 result. That sets up a potential value opportunity with Denver. Now the Nuggets have a more advantageous price than before losing Game 2.
2023 NBA Finals Series Schedule
- Game 1: Nuggets 104, Heat 93
- Game 2: Heat 111, Nuggets 108
- Game 3: Wednesday at Miami, 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
- Game 4: Friday at Miami, 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
- Game 5: Monday, June 12 at Denver, 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
- Game 6*: Thursday, June 15 at Miami, 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
- Game 7*: Sunday, June 18 at Denver, 8 p.m. ET (ABC)
*If necessary
Denver Nuggets Team Overview
The Denver Nuggets finished 53-29 straight up, 45-37 against the spread, and 37-44-1 over/under the total. Late on, Denver has covered three out of their last four games. In comparison, the Nuggets have gone under the total in three of its previous five matchups.
Denver has NBA metrics of 12th for scoring offense, 1st for field goal percentage, 4th for 3-point field goal percentage, 26th for free throw percentage, and 19th for offensive rebounding. In comparison on defense, the Nuggets have NBA metrics of 8th for scoring defense, 20th for field goal percentage permitted, 3rd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed and 1st for defensive rebounding.
First among Denver scorers is Nikola Jokic with 30.4 points, 12.9 rebounds, and 10.1 assists per game. At the same time, Jamal Murray adds 27.0 points and 5.4 rebounds, and 6.6 assists per contest.
Miami Heat Team Overview
The Miami Heat finished 44-38 straight up, 31-49-2 against the spread, and 41-41 over/under the NBA betting total. Late on, Miami has covered three out of their last four games. In comparison, the Heat has gone under the total in five of its previous six matchups.
Miami has NBA metrics of 30th for scoring offense, 28th for field goal percentage, 27th for 3-point field goal percentage, 2nd for free throw percentage, and 27th for offensive rebounding. In comparison, on defense, the Heat have NBA metrics of 2nd for scoring defense, 22nd for field goal percentage permitted, 22nd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 6th for defensive rebounding.
First among Miami scorers is Jimmy Butler, with 27.3 points, 5.9 assists, and 6.8 rebounds per game. Bam Adebayo adds 17.5 points and 9.4 rebounds per game.