NBA Betting Action: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Game 3 (May 27, 2021)

NBA Betting Action Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Game 3 (May 27, 2021)

On the whole, Milwaukee was one of the NBA’s biggest disappointments this season. Most teams would be glad to have had a season like the Bucks. Compared to past seasons, Milwaukee wasn’t dominant or profitable. Miami was below par as well for the 2020-21 campaign. After making the 2020 NBA Finals, the Heat were considered a team of the future. Instead, they were in the red on the betting on NBA board. Milwaukee suffered a steep decline in defensive production this year. While the Heat were one of the NBA’s worst offensive teams. Miami hosts Game three on Thursday.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Game 3 Betting Information

Date and Time:Thursday, May 27, 2021, 7:30 p.m. ET
Location:American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
Bucks vs. Heat TV Coverage:TNT
Bucks vs. Heat Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Bucks-1 (-110)227½ (-110)-118
Heat+1 (-110)227½ (-110)-102
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Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat SBG Odds Overview

On this occasion, the online wagering handle will split evenly. The public doesn’t have a clear-cut opinion of either team. Sharps will lean Milwaukee for the road team price break. Squares always prefer the home team, Miami in this case.

Milwaukee Bucks Team Overview

Milwaukee failed to cover seven of their previous eight games. While Five of those eight games went over the total. Milwaukee is 46-26 straight up, 32-40 against the spread, and 41-30 over the total. In sum, the Bucks have NBA metrics of 1st for scoring offense but 22nd for points allowed.

Milwaukee’s success comes from forward; Giannis Antetokounmpo. To show, the Greek Freak averaged 28.1 points, 11.0 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per contest. Forward Khris Middleton adds 20.4 points and 6.0 rebounds per contest.

Miami Heat Team Overview

Late on, the Heat paid in five of their previous six games. Three of their last four went under the total. Miami had a regular-season record of 40-33 straight up, 35-36-2 vs. the odds, and 38-35 over the total. Overall, NBA metrics show the Heat 25th for scoring offense and 5th for points allowed.

Namely, forward Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 21.5 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 67.1 assists per contest. While center Ben Adebayo added 18.7 points and 9.0 rebounds per game. Adebayo emerged as a top big man in the 2020 NBA Playoffs.

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee covered only 44% of all games in 2020-21
  • On the road, the Bucks were only 38% vs. the odds
  • Over the total paid in 57% of all Bucks games this season
  • Milwaukee is 54% over the total in away games
  • Miami has covered only 44% of their home games
  • The Heat cleared the total in 55% of their home court matchups
  • Miami is 56% over the total in Eastern Conference games
  • Miami is 8-4 against the spread vs. Milwaukee
  • Four of the previous five between the Heat and Bucks stayed under the total
  • Miami covered two of their last three home games vs. the Bucks
  • Five of the previous six in this series at Miami stayed under the total

Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat SBG Free NBA Picks

As mentioned earlier, the Heat have had the Betting on NBA advantage over the Bucks. Milwaukee was a poor overall and road value this season. In this situation, the Heat will play with strong motivation at home. Miami upset Milwaukee in the playoffs last year. That has proven not to be an accident.

Bucks at Heat SBG Best Bet: Miami Heat.