USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAAF Betting Analysis & Lines (09/21/2024)

Now there is no rest for the weary in the newly reformed Big Ten Conference. Just ask the Michigan Wolverines and USC Trojans, who meet on Saturday in the biggest game of the weekend at Michigan Stadium. The Big House will be the venue for two of the most iconic NCAA Football Betting brands in sports. Michigan is coming off a perfunctory win over visiting Arkansas State. Previously, they had a blowout home loss against the mighty Texas Longhorns. Meanwhile, USC is trying to build on its season-opening win over the LSU Tigers.

USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAAF Betting Information

Date and Time:Saturday, September 21, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location:Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
TV Coverage:CBS
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
USC-6 -10546½ -110-240
Michigan+6 -11546½ -110+200
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USC Trojans Team Overview

Last game, the USC Trojans won 48-0 against the Utah State Aggies as 31-point home favorites. The game went under the offshore betting total of 64. USC has a record of 2-0 straight up, 2-0 against the spread, and 0-2 over/under the total. USC ranks 16th for total offense, 8th for passing, 67th for rushing, and 26th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 54th overall, 70th against the pass, 32nd against the rush, and 19th for points allowed. Also, USC ranks 23rd for the fewest turnovers lost and 81st for takeaways.

Michigan Wolverines Team Overview

Last game, the Michigan Wolverines won 28-18 against the Arkansas State Red Wolves as 21.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 47.5. Michigan has a record of 2-1 straight up, 0-3 against the spread, and 1-2 over/under the total. Michigan ranks 105th for total offense, 120th for passing, 49th for rushing, and 99th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 53rd overall, 89th against the pass, 14th against the rush, and 56th for points allowed. Also, Michigan ranks 121st for fewest turnovers lost and 48th for takeaways.

Certainly, Michigan looks like it has a problem at quarterback. Kalel Mullings ran for a career-high 153 yards and two touchdowns to help the 17th-ranked Wolverines overcome Davis Warren’s three interceptions. The Wolverines could not pull away from a Sun Belt Conference team they were expected to rout. Cause by Warren throwing an interception in each of the first three quarters. Finally, Alex Orji replaced Warren and took advantage. He threw a 9-yard touchdown pass to Hogan Hansen to give the Wolverines a 28-3 lead early in the fourth quarter. Overall, Warren was 11 of 14 for 122 yards, mostly relegated to completing short passes when he wasn’t throwing to defensive players.

Michigan scored three times on the ground after entering the game without a rushing touchdown in two games. Including last week’s loss to then-No. 3 Texas that ended a 28-game regular-season winning streak and a 23-game stretch of success at home. Michigan went with Warren to start the season after he beat out Orji for the job entering the season. But he hasn’t done much to keep it. Orji is limited as a passer, but his ability to run gives the offensively challenged team another way to move the ball. Hence, he ran the ball three times for 27 yards and was 2 of 4 passing for 12 yards with a score.

USC at Michigan SBG Free Picks

These two powerful megabrands will draw massive NCAA Football Betting activity. USC offers the most value as the quality road team that is in better form.

USC at Michigan at SBG Best Bet: USC Trojans.