Last year the Broncos began with four straight losses. Rookie head coach Vic Fangio got quite the baptism under fire. After the heat was off the Broncos finished strong. Rookie quarterback Drew Lock sparked hopes of a Denver revival. And then Fangio and the Broncos dropped their first three NFL betting matchups of 2020. Lock is out with injury until late October. Somehow the Broncos pulled themselves together for a win over the Jets. New York is the worst team in the league. Which meant that failure wasn’t an option. Following a loss, the Patriots won’t be an easy matchup.
Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots
| Date and Time: | Sunday, October 18, 2020, 1:05 p.m. ET. |
|---|---|
| Location: | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts |
| Broncos vs. Patriots TV Coverage: | CBS |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | +9½ (-110) | 46½ (-110) | – |  |
| Patriots | -9½ (-110) | 46½ (-110) | – | |
| ||||
This game was rescheduled for October 18 due to COVID-19.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots SBG Odds Overview
Contrarian bettors could see the Broncos as an offshore bookmaker dream. Denver has zero public appeal. Squares will storm the betting window for action on the Patriots. Of course, those setting the lines know all of this. And the Patriots mass appeal is baked into the price. Further, it will take a lot of nerve to bet Denver without Drew Lock. While Cam Newton is expected back for the Patriots. In turn, Denver makes for a superb against the grain play.
Denver Broncos Team Overview
Denver beat the Jets 37-28 last Thursday as 1-point road dogs. So too did over the total of 41 cash in. As a result, the Broncos are 1-3 straight up but 3-1 on the board. Denver is 2-2 with totals. Offensively the Broncos are struggling at 28th in the NFL for scoring. By contrast, Denver is a more respectable 14th for points allowed.
With such a big number the Broncos defense could be an asset. It follows that the defense has already made Denver profitable. Three payouts with just one win show hidden wagering value.
New England Patriots Team Overview
Thanks to four turnovers the Patriots lost at Kansas City 26-10 as 11-point dogs. So too did the game go under 48.5. New England is 2-2 straight up, vs. the line, and with totals. Buffalo holds a two-game lead over New England in the AFC East. Offensively the Patriots rank 22nd for scoring. Counter to that is a defense ranked ninth for points allowed.
Even with Cam Newton in the lineup was the Patriots offense inconsistent. Of major concern is their ability to cover such a big line. Especially against a solid Broncos defense.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots Against the Spread
The Broncos are:
- 9-4 against the spread in their last 13 games
- 6-2 vs. the line on the road
- 5-10 under the total on the road
- 4-1 over the total at New England
The Patriots are:
- 2-4 against the spread in their last six games
- 7-3 on the board head to head with Denver
- 5-0 vs. the odds in their last five home games with the Broncos
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots SBG Free Picks
In this situation, the Patriots are not showing good NFL betting value. Contrarily the Broncos are getting the cash even as they lose. Fading the public and taking the side of the house is usually smart.
Broncos at Patriots SBG Best Bet: Denver Broncos