Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Analysis & Picks (09/28/2023)

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Analysis & Picks (09-28-2023)

At the beginning of the NFL odds season was a predicted change of the guard in the NFC North. The Green Bay Packers have owned the NFC North for the past three decades. But with the loss of future Hall of Fame QB Aaron Rodgers to the New York Jets, the door was said to be open for a new team. By contrast, the Detroit Lions were sold as the club that could fill the void. The two teams clash on Thursday Night Football. Both teams are coming off important home wins.

Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Betting Information

Date and Time:Saturday, September 28, 2023, 8:15 p.m. ET
Location:Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI
TV Coverage:NBC
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Lions-1½ -11045 -110-125
Packers+1½ -11045 -110+105
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Detroit Lions Team Overview

Last game, the Detroit Lions won 20-6 against the Atlanta Falcons as 3-point home favorites. The game went under the sports betting total of 47.5. Detroit has a record of 2-1 straight up, 2-1 against the spread, and 1-2 over/under the total. Detroit ranks 8th for total offense, 7th for passing, 11th for rushing, and 14th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 11th overall, 19th against the pass, 6th against the rush, and 13th for points allowed. Also, Detroit ranks 22nd for the fewest turnovers lost and 22nd for takeaways.

Jared Goff’s tiebreaking 45-yard touchdown pass to LaPorta early in the second quarter sent Detroit to a victory over the Atlanta Falcons. Hence, it was a rebound performance for the Lions. LaPorta is the former Iowa star, drafted No. 34 overall. He was the first NFL tight end to catch five passes in his first two games. Also, he surpassed that production with eight receptions for 84 yards and his first score against the Falcons.

Now Sam LaPorta has 18 catches, the most by an NFL tight end through three games. Previously, the record was 17 receptions for Keith Jackson in 1988 for Philadelphia at the start of his three-time All-Pro career. Overall, Goff was 22 of 33 for 243 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Also, he had a 3-yard designed run for a score that fooled the Falcons on third down.

Green Bay Packers Team Overview

Last game, the Green Bay Packers won 18-17 against the New Orleans Saints as 1-point home dogs. The game went under a total of 41.5. Green Bay has a record of 2-1 straight up, 3-0 against the spread, and 2-1 over/under the total. Green Bay ranks 23rd for total offense, 19th for passing, 26th for rushing, and 8th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 15th overall, 11th against the pass, 28th against the rush, and 12th for points allowed. Also, Green Bay ranks 5th for the fewest turnovers lost and 19th for takeaways.

Of course, this was Love’s fourth start overall and first at home. The 2020 first-round pick spent the last three seasons backing up Aaron Rodgers. Jordan Love celebrated his first career start at Lambeau Field. And he produced the type of comeback his four-time MVP predecessor orchestrated so often.

Love rallied Green Bay from a 17-point fourth-quarter deficit, and the Packers stunned New Orleans. In sum, Love went 22 of 44 for 259 yards with one touchdown pass, a TD run, and an interception. To illuminate, the Packers scored 18 points in the final 11 minutes to win their 11th consecutive home opener, the NFL’s longest active streak.

Lions at Packers SBG Free Picks

Specifically, in this series, the Lions got the money in 10 of their last 12 games against the Packers. The Lions and Packers went under the NFL betting odds in six of their last nine meetings.

Lions at Packers SBG Best Bet: Detroit Lions and Under.