If you look at the standings you will wonder why San Diego is favored in football betting this week against New England. The Patriots are 4-1 while the Chargers are 2-4 yet, the Chargers are favored by a field goal at home in NFL football betting. Before you go and unload on the Patriots there are a few things to consider in this game. The Chargers only two wins this season have come at home while the Patriots have not been a good road team going back to last season. The only reason the Patriots won at Miami is because their special teams went crazy. It is not easy to go across the country and win so you can see why the Chargers are favored.
San Diego -3, total 47 at SBG
The Chargers are the three-point favorite at home in this game. San Diego has a potent offense led by quarterback Philip Rivers. He figures to have a big day against a poor New England secondary. The Patriots stopped Miami and Baltimore but neither of those teams can pass like San Diego.
Status of Antonio Gates – The big key in this game will be the healthy of San Diego tight end Antonio Gates. He is listed as questionable but this is such a huge game that you have to think he will play. And he is not just another player. He is the main target for Rivers and the biggest key to San Diego’s passing game.
Way Over the Total – If you are going to bet a total this week this has to be the game. The Patriots defense has not shown they can stop anyone, especially a good passing team while the Chargers defense hasn’t been anything special. This should be a shootout between two of the best quarterbacks in the game today. Look for Tom Brady and Philip Rivers to go back and forth and put up a lot of points on Sunday.
Football Betting Trends – The New England Patriots are 5-0-1 in NFL football betting in their last 6 games in Week 7. The Patriots are 23-7-2 ATS in their last 32 games in October. The Patriots are 13-6-3 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog. The Chargers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Chargers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.