Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Analysis & Picks (12/11/2022)

Los Angeles Chargers were touted as a top threat to the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West. Indeed, the Chargers are in AFC playoff contention. But Los Angeles is far behind the Chiefs for the division lead. LA is a one-man team with QB Justin Herbert. Hence, LA lacks complementary NFL betting odds components such as a reliable running game and defense. The Chargers host the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. Now, Miami is one of the AFC’s biggest surprises. As long as Tua Tagovailoa stays healthy, the sky could be the limit for Miami.

Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Information

Date and Time:Sunday, December 11, 2022, 8:20 p.m. ET
Location:SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
TV Coverage:NBC
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Dolphins-3 (-120)52 (-110)-170
Chargers+3 (EV)52 (-110)+145
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Dolphins at Chargers SBG Odds Overview

Consider that these two contenders are so appealing that NBC flexed it to Sunday Night Football status. Miami has become a hot property with the online betting community. Counter to that is the slumping Chargers. Casuals are becoming frustrated with LA’s inability to deliver in recent weeks.

Miami Dolphins Team Overview

Last Sunday, the Miami Dolphins lost 33-17 against the San Francisco 49ers as 4.5-point road dogs. The game went over the total of 46. Miami has a record of 8-4 straight up, 6-6 against the spread, and 6-6 over/under the total.

Overall, Miami has NFL Metrics of 4th for total offense, 2nd for passing, 28th for rushing, and 8th for scoring. In turn, on defense, they rank 17th overall, 21st against the pass, 9th against the rush, and 25th for points allowed. Miami ranks 17th for turnovers lost and 25th for takeaways.

At the onset, Tua Tagovailoa threw a 75-yard touchdown pass to Trent Sherfield on the opening play from scrimmage. However, he struggled to do much else behind a patchwork line for Miami. Especially against Nick Bosa and the Niners’ defense. Tagovailoa came into the game with three interceptions on the season. But he threw two in the third quarter to Jimmie Ward and Deommodore Lenoir to lead to a pair of field goals for the 49ers.

Los Angeles Chargers Team Overview

Last Sunday, the Los Angeles Chargers lost 27-20 against the Las Vegas Raiders as 2.5-point road dogs. The game went under the total of 49.5. As a result, LA has a record of 6-6 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, and 6-6 over/under the total.

Overall, the Chargers have NFL Metrics of 13th for total offense, 6th for passing, 31st for rushing, and 14th for scoring. On defense, LA ranks 26th overall, 19th against the pass, 29th against the rush, and 30th for points allowed. And then LA ranks 11th for turnovers lost and 13th for takeaways.

Correlate the aggressive Raider defense sacked Justin Herbert five times. Hence, Las Vegas split its season series with the Chargers. Namely, Chandler Jones entered with just a half-sack. But the defensive end recorded three in the first half alone. Also, Jones tackled Herbert a yard short of the first down on a fourth-and-2 in the first quarter. In sum, Herbert completed 28 of 47 passes for 335 yards for this 20th career 300-yard game.

Dolphins at Chargers SBG Free Picks

As mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are coming off a flat Pro football Bets performance. Now they face a Chargers team fighting for their lives.

Dolphins at Chargers SBG Best Bet: Los Angeles Chargers.