In like manner to all forms of gambling, Super Bowl props have countless theories. Many veteran handicappers will advise that props bets should align with your game bets. And it stands to reason that the team that wins could likely come through with the NFL odds on props wagers. At the same time, the losing team figures not to have a lot of success on positive props wagers. Others will tell you that team success and props bets can result in entirely different results. To be exact, the best way to beat props is with good prices and value.
Super Bowl LVI Cincinnati Bengals vs. Los Angeles Rams
| Date and Time: | Sunday, February 13, 2022, 6:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California |
| Super Bowl LVI TV Coverage: | NBC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | -4 (-110) | 48½ (-110) | -200 |  |
| Bengals | +4 (-110) | 48½ (-110) | +175 | |
| ||||
Total First Half Points: Rams
| Over/Under | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 13 | -130 |
| Under 13 | +110 |
At the onset of the game, what will Rams coach Sean McVay be thinking? The traditional sports betting expectation is that a team will come out conservative. And that the respective clubs will want to get a feel for each other. However, McVay is not a conventional head coach. He owns the NFL’s 5th ranked passing offense with one of the NFL’s hottest quarterbacks in Matthew Stafford.
McVay remembers his poor performance in a Super Bowl loss three years ago vs. the Patriots. Thus, Los Angeles may come out aggressive and try to jump on Cincinnati. Cincinnati’s 26th ranked pass defense invites McVay and the Rams to take their shots.
The Pick: Rams Over 13
Total First Half Points: Bengals
| Over/Under | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 10.5 | +100 |
| Under 10.5 | -120 |
On the other hand, there are concerns about how Cincinnati will approach the first half. In the AFC Championship game at Kansas City, the Bengals fell behind 21-3. While Cincinnati had an impressive comeback win, many gamblers won’t forget the sluggish start. Also factoring is the Rams’ remarkable defense in the 2021 NFL Playoffs.
The Pick: Bengals Under 10.5
Team With Most Net Yards in Game
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bengals | +140 |
| Rams | -160 |
On the NFL betting odds question of the team with the most yards, Cincinnati is getting a much more favorable price. Also, factoring is the possibility that the Bengals may have to play catch up. That means that quarterback Joe Burrow will take to the air against a loser Rams defense in prevent mode.
The Pick: Bengals +140
Team With More Time of Possession
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Rams | -130 |
| Bengals | +110 |
:
Deep down, Rams coach Sean McVay likes to run the football whenever possible. And if Los Angeles gets a solid lead, the Rams will almost certainly try to eat the clock. Furthermore, Cincinnati’s defense is likely to be focused on stopping the Rams’ prolific passing attack. This will leave the door open to run the ball for Los Angeles. Los Angeles is getting a reasonable price on the time of possession.
The Pick: Rams -130
First Turnover of Game
| Interception/Fumble | Odds |
|---|---|
| Interception | -190 |
| Fumble | +170 |
Regardless of who commits the first turnover, the price is far too high on the interception. Fumbles can come in many forms. Including special teams, after a catch, and on a quarterback sack or rush. At +170, fumble offers far greater wagering value than interception.
The Pick: Fumble +170
Total Sacks for Rams
| Over/Under | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 3 | -140 |
| Under 3 | +120 |
Cincinnati struggled all season to protect Joe Burrow. And then, in the playoffs, he was sacked 12 times in three games.
The Pick: Over 3