Underdogs and the Money Line in Super Bowl Odds

When you look at Super Bowl odds your first inclination will be to take the favorite.

That is what most people do in Super Bowl betting but in the last three years the underdog has covered the spread and in two of the three games the team won outright.  That has made the underdog on the money line very popular at the Sbg sportsbook.

Underdogs
In the last nine Super Bowls the underdog has actually gone 6-3 ATS.  It didn’t used to be that way as for many years the favorite got all of the action in the Super Bowl.  Parity has taken over in the NFL though and underdogs have done very well in the big game.  New Orleans won outright against Indianapolis last year, Arizona covered against Pittsburgh two years ago and the New York Giants stunned the New England Patriots three years ago.  Will the underdog winning streak continue in Super Bowl XLV?

Money Line
Many people forget about the money line in the Super Bowl but in recent seasons the underdog on the money line has been profitable.  Last year the Saints won as a money line underdog and three years ago it was the Giants winning outright as a huge money line underdog against the Patriots.  Because of the success of dogs on the money line you will notice a much smaller number than is warranted.  Sportsbooks know that bettors are not going to take the favorite on the money line so they will make the number smaller. It happened last year with the Colts and Saints but it didn’t matter as bettors still took New Orleans on the money line.  Value will actually be with the favorite on the money line although bettors probably still won’t make that wager in Super Bowl odds.

Super Bowl XLV
This year’s Super Bowl takes place on Sunday, February 6th from Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The game will be shown on Fox television and start at approximately 6:25 pm Eastern.  It will be the first time that the Dallas-Fort Worth area will be hosting a Super Bowl and the third time the state of Texas will get the big game.  The Super Bowl will be played two weeks after the NFC and AFC Championship games and one week after the Pro Bowl.