Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Analysis (12/11/2022)

The San Francisco 49ers are flashing one of the NFL’s top defenses. Hence they should give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers all kinds of NFL betting odds problems. But the 49ers are down to 3rd-string at quarterback. Tampa Bay lacks the polish under first year head coach Todd Bowles that it had under the previous coach Bruce Arians. Arians was too tough of a taskmaster for some. Including Tom Brady, who has the owner’s ear. Tampa Bay allowed Brady to wag the dog. Now they have a doormat as their head coach.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Information

Date and Time:Sunday, December 11, 2022, 4:25 p.m. ET
Location:Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California
TV Coverage:FOX
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Buccaneers+3½ (-120)37 (-110)+160
49ers-3½ (EV)37 (-110)-190
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Buccaneers at 49ers SBG Odds Overview

On the whole, sportsbook action should be split. Gamblers are concerned about the 49ers being down to third string at quarterback. However, the Buccaneers’ erratic play offsets those worries.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Team Overview

Last Monday night, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 17-16 against the New Orleans Saints as 3.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 41. As a result, Tampa Bay has a record of 6-6 straight up, 3-8-1 against the spread, and 2-10 over/under the total.

Overall, Tampa Bay has NFL Metrics of 17th for total offense, 5th for passing, 32nd for rushing, and 27th for scoring. Defensively they rank 8th overall, 7th against the pass, 18th against the rush, and 5th for points allowed. Also, Tampa Bay ranks 2nd for turnovers lost and 26th for takeaways.

Namely, Tom Brady led scoring drives of 91 and 63 yards, and the Bucs got back to .500. As a result, Tampa Bay tightened the team’s grip on first place in the weak NFC South. The 45-year-old quarterback tossed a one-yard TD pass to rookie Cade Otton. Hence San Francisco got within 16-10 with exactly three minutes remaining. Next, Brady got the ball back with 2:29 to go. He won it with a 6-yard throw to another rookie, Rachaad White, with three seconds left.

San Francisco 49ers Team Overview

Last Sunday, the San Francisco 49ers won 33-17 against the Miami Dolphins as 4.5-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 46. San Francisco has a record of 8-4 straight up, 7-5 against the spread, and 5-7 over/under the total.

Overall, San Francisco has NFL Metrics of 10th for total offense, 12th for passing, 14th for rushing, and 13th for scoring. Defensively they rank 1st overall, 12th against the pass, 1st against the rush, and 1st for points allowed. Also, San Francisco ranks 13th for turnovers lost and 10th for takeaways.

Third string quarterback Brock Purdy threw two touchdown passes after replacing the injured Jimmy Garoppolo. Hence, San Francisco parlayed a relentless defensive performance for its fifth straight win. Late on, Tua Tagovailoa threw a 45-yard TD pass to Tyreek Hill in the opening minute of the fourth quarter. But the top-ranked 49er defense held on from there. San Francisco capped the performance with a strip-sack from Nick Bosa that Dre Greenlaw returned for a 23-yard score. In sum, Bosa finished with three sacks. In comparison, Purdy finished 25 for 37 for 210 yards, two TDs, and one interception.

Buccaneers at 49ers SBG Free Picks

In this situation, the 49ers’ defense is the Pro football Bets difference.

Buccaneers at 49ers SBG Best Bet: San Francisco 49ers.