First glance shows the Patriots in their normal perch atop in the AFC East. Defensively New England is among the best in all of Pro Football betting. However, there are cracks showing on the offensive side of the line. Quarterback Tom Brady and the Patriots are slipping with offensive production. In particular, the last three games have been worrisome. Counter to that is a Texans offense has shown consistency. Houston leads the mediocre AFC South by a single game over the Colts and resurgent Titans. Head coach Bill O’Brien seems to have Houston in the race almost every year.
New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans
| Date and Time: | Sunday, December 1, 2019, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas |
| Patriots vs. Texans TV Coverage: | NBC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | -3½ (-101) | 45 (-110) | -175 |  |
| Texans | +3½ (-119) | 45 (-110) | +151 | |
| ||||
New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans Overview
Houston has a sportsbook record of 7-4 straight up, 5-6 vs. the line, and 4-7 under the total. Last week the Texans got past the Colts 20-17 as 3.5-point home overlays. Houston ranks seventh for total offense and 17th for points allowed. Namely quarterback Deshaun Watson has been instrumental in keeping the Texans afloat.
New England is 10-1 straight up, 7-4 vs. the odds, and 3-8 under the total. Concurrently the Patriots are coming off a 13-9 home win over Dallas as 5.5-point overlays. Defensively New England ranks second overall and first for points allowed. Of great concern is an offense ranked 17th overall and 23rd for the rush. Tom Brady’s quarterback rating has slipped to 88.5. Specifically, the Patriots 37-20 loss at Baltimore on November 3 shows a potential power shift.
Key Patriots: QB Tom Brady (62.2% COMP, 2942 YDS, 6.7 AVG, 15 TD, 5 INT, 18 SACK, 88.5 RTG), RB Sony Michel (174 ATT, 600 YDS, 3.4 AVG, 6 TD), WR Julian Edelman (76 REC, 809 YDS, 10.6 AVG, 4 TD), LB Jamie Collins Sr (57 TACKLES, 6 SACKS), S Devin McCourty (36 TACKLES, 5 INT), PK Nick Folk (7-9 FG, 3-3 XP)
Key Texans: QB Deshaun Watson (69% COMP, 2899 YDS, 8.0 AVG, 20 TD, 7 INT, 32 SACKS, 103.4 RTG), RB Carlos Hyde (174 ATT, 836 YDS, 4.8 AVG, 4 TD), WR DeAndre Hopkins (81 REC, 839 YDS, 10.4 AVG, 6 TD), LB Whitney Mercilus (38 TACKLES, 5.5 SACKS), PK Ka’imi Fairbairn (15-20 FG, 26-31 XP)
New England And Houston vs. the Line:
The Patriots are:
- 5-2 against the spread in their last seven away games
- 1-5 under the total on the road
- 2-1 on the board at Houston
- 3-1 over the total in away games vs. the Texans
The Texans are:
- 2-4 against the spread in their last six home games
- 1-7 under the total at NRG Stadium
- 2-8 vs. the odds in their series with the Patriots
- 2-3 under the total head to head with New England
New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans Football Betting Picks
On this occasion, we have a potential Football betting playoff preview. New England is suddenly looking like a team that can be beaten. However, the Texans under head coach Bill O’Brien have never reached the top tier. This is a golden opportunity for them to do so. However, at the end of the day, the Patriots are the proven play.
Patriots vs. Texans Football Betting Pick: New England Patriots
Patriots vs. Texans Football Betting Score Prediction: Patriots 24, Texans 17