A clear difference is immediately apparent when assessing the Bills vs. most any other team. Buffalo does things the old-fashioned way. To illuminate in an era of fast paced offense the Bills win with running and defense. Second year head coach Sean McDermott has Buffalo in the NFL betting post season for the second time in three years doing it his way. Cause by their lack of defense are the Texans a little more with the times. Houston uses offense to cover for an inconsistent defense. They are in the playoffs for the fourth time in five years.
Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans
Date and Time: | Saturday, January 4, 2020, 4:35 p.m. ET |
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Location: | NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas |
Bills Vs. Texans TV Coverage: | ESPN |
Buffalo Bills Vs. Houston Texans Overview
Houston has an online betting record of 10-6 straight up, 7-8-1 vs. the line and 7-9 under the total. Overall NFL metrics have the Texans 14th for scoring offense and 19th for points allowed. Of great concern is that Houston paid in only three of their last 10 games. Namely Deshaun Watson should give the Texans an advantage at quarterback in this matchup.
Contrarily the Bills are 10-6 straight up, 9-5-2 vs. the odds, and 4-12 under the total. Buffalo ranks 23rd for scoring offense and second for points allowed. To be exact the Bills faded at the end with only one cover in their last four games.
Key Bills: QB Josh Allen (58.8% COMP, 3089 YDS, 20 TD, 9 INT, 38 SACKS, 85.3 RTG), RB Devin Singleton (151 ATT, 775 YDS, 5.1 AVG, 2 TD), WR John Brown (72 REC, 1060 YDS, 14.7 AVG, 6 TD), LB Tremaine Edmunds (115 TACKLES, 1.5 SACKS, 1 INT), PK Stephen Hauschka (16-22 FG, 30-32 FG)
Key Texans: QB Deshaun Watson (67.3% COMP, 3852 YDS, 7.8 AVG, 26 TD, 12 INT, 44 SACK, 98.0 RTG), RB Carlos Hyde (245 ATT, 1070 YDS, 4.4 AVG, 6 TD), DeAndre Hopkins (104 REC, 1165 YDS, 11.2 AVG, 7 TD), LB Zach Cunningham (142 TACKLES, 2 SACKS), PK Ka’imi Fairbairn (20-25 FG, 40-45 XP)
Buffalo and Houston against the Spread
The Bills are:
7-1-1 against the spread in their last nine road games
2-8 under the total away from home
8-4-1 vs. the line as a dog
1-10 under the total in their last 11 games as a pup
4-3 on the board in their head to head series with Houston
1-4 under the total against the Texans
The Texans are:
3-8 against the spread in their last 11 home games
4-2 over the total at NRG Stadium
1-6-1 on the board in their last eight games as a chalk
2-6 under the total when laying points
2-1 vs. the odds in their last three home games with the Bills
0-3 under the total when hosting Buffalo
Buffalo Bills vs. Houston Texans NFL Betting Pick
Cause by Buffalo’s 26th ranked passing attack do they face an NFL betting
Disadvantage. As was previously noted the Bills did not finish impressively. While Houston showed weak value down the stretch as well, they are in the black at home against Buffalo.
Buffalo vs. Houston NFL Betting Pick: Houston Texans
Buffalo vs. Houston NFL Betting Score Prediction: Texans 27, Bills 14