Minnesota Vikings vs. Houston Texans NFL Week 4 Preview, Expert Analysis and Odds

Winless Vikings and Texans Starving for a Win on Sunday

At the onset of the season, Minnesota was a hot NFL bets property. Off-season activity was a blur for the Vikings. General manager Rick Spielman bragged about “roster evolution.” Specifically, this meant 15 picks in the 2020 NFL Draft. And a completely overhauled defense. It all added up to Minnesota being a trendy futures pick. However, those heady preseason projections are over. Minnesota has lost their first three games. Contrarily gamblers were wary regarding the prospects of the Texans. Blowing a 24-point playoff lead in Kansas City is hard to forget. Houston hasn’t recovered from that debacle.

Minnesota Vikings vs. Houston Texans

Date and Time:Sunday, October 4, 2020, 1 p.m. ET
Location:NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Vikings at Texans TV Coverage:FOX
Vikings vs. Texans odds at SBG:
TeamSpreadTotalML
Vikings+4 (-109)54½ (-115)+172
Texans-4 (-111)54½ (-105)-205
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Houston Texans SBG Odds Overview

On this occasion, it seems that neither team should be the sports betting favorite. Minnesota is the bigger letdown property of the two clubs. Houston has lost significant favor with gamblers. Squares are long to forget the Texans playoff flop at Kansas City. Sharps see Minnesota as a potentially good value. Especially getting points against such a questionable opponent.

Minnesota Vikings Team Overview

Now Minnesota is 0-3 straight up, 1-2 against the spread, and 2-1 over the total. Minnesota has NFL metrics of 22nd for total offense, 28th in passing offense, eighth for rushing offense, 18th for scoring offense, and 29th for turnovers. Defensively the Vikings rank 30th overall, 30th for pass defense, 26th for rush defense, 31st for points allowed, and 23rd for takeaways. Last week the Vikings lost at home to the Tennessee Titans 31-30. But they got the money as 3-point home dogs with the game going over the total of 49.5.

Houston Texans Team Overview

In sum, the Texans are 0-3 straight up and against the spread with 2-1 over the total. Houston has NFL offensive metrics of 28th overall, 19th for passing, 31st for rushing, 28th for scoring, and 18th for turnovers. Defensively the Texans rank 23rd overall, third for pass defense, 32nd for rush defense, 29th for points allowed, and 31st for takeaways. Houston is coming off a 28-21 loss at Pittsburgh as 3.5-point away dogs. And then over a total of 46.5 was a winner as well.

Minnesota Vikings and Houston Texans Against the Spread

The Vikings Are:

  • 2-8 against the spread as road dogs
  • 2-7 under the total in their last nine as away pups
  • 4-0 on the board against the Texans
  • 3-1 over the total head to head with Houston

The Texans Are:

  • 3-7 against the spread as home favorites
  • 2-9 under the total as home chalk
  • 0-2 vs. the odds when hosting the Vikings
  • 0-1 under the total at home against Minnesota

Minnesota Vikings at Houston Texans SBG Free Picks

As was previously noted the Texans are poor NFL Bets values as home chalk. So too have the Vikings dominated the payout window head to head. Houston coach and general manager Bill O’Brien is rapidly losing credibility. Last year’s postseason humiliation may prove historic. It’s likely to go down as the moment when O’Brien lost all respect. To summarize Minnesota has a golden opportunity here.

Vikings vs. Texans SBG Best Bet: Minnesota Vikings