Alabama vs. Mississippi State NCAAF Betting Analysis & Odds (09/30/2023)

Alabama vs. Mississippi State NCAAF Betting Analysis & Odds (09-30-2023)

It is true that Mike Leach has left behind a troubled College Football Betting situation. The Bulldogs are trying to find their way after the tragic death of head coach Mike Leach. The famed Pirate had the Bulldogs rising. Subsequently, new head coach Zach Arnett was hired on the fly last December when Leach unexpectedly passed. He faces the daunting challenge of following a legend at a school that is a traditional second-tier SEC program. On Saturday, Hail State hosts the Alabama Crimson Tide. Correlate that Alabama is coming off an important bounce-back win over Ole Miss.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAF Betting Information

Date and Time:Saturday, September 30, 2023, 9 p.m. ET
Location:Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS
TV Coverage:ESPN
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Alabama-14½ ( -110 )48½ ( -110 )-700
Mississippi State+14½ ( -110 )48½ ( -110 )+500
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Alabama Crimson Tide Team Overview

Last game, the Alabama Crimson Tide won 24-10 against the Ole Miss Rebels as 6.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 56. Alabama has a record of 3-1 straight up, 2-2 against the spread, and 2-2 over/under the online betting total. Alabama ranks 82nd for total offense, 99th for passing, 56th for rushing, and 61st for scoring. Defensively, they rank 35th overall, 52nd against the pass, 33rd against the rush, and 19th for points allowed. Also, Alabama ranks 34th for fewest turnovers lost and 83rd for takeaways.

The Tide scored 18 points in 14 minutes. Hence, they pulled away from the Rebels in the Southeastern Conference opener for both teams. The result was Alabama’s eighth straight win over Ole Miss. But it was not the kind of performance that assuaged concerns about the shaky offensive play. The Tide’s eight-year streak in the top 10 of the AP poll ended this week. Jalen Milroe completed 17 of 21 passes for 225 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Also, he had runs of 20 and 18 yards on the opening drive.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Team Overview

Last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs lost 37-30 against the South Carolina Gamecocks as 6-point road dogs. The game went over a total of 46.5. Mississippi State has a record of 2-2 straight up, 1-3 against the spread, and 2-2 over/under the total. Mississippi State ranks 71st for total offense, 56th for passing, 82nd for rushing, and 58th for scoring. Defensively, they rank 102nd overall, 122nd against the pass, 55th against the rush, and 91st for points allowed. Also, Hail State ranks 54th for fewest turnovers lost and 52nd for takeaways.

Following three weeks of pounding the ball on the ground with inconsistent results, Mississippi State returned to the Air Raid passing attack. Specifically, the attack the Bulldogs used under coach Mike Leach. It was an encouraging outing after a 41-14 loss last week to LSU. And Will Rogers said the Bulldogs can build on it.

Will Rogers threw for a career-best 487 yards on 30-of-48 passing with a touchdown and an interception. Lideatrick Griffin set a school record with 256 yards receiving on seven catches. Including a 65-yard touchdown. But Rogers had an interception in the red zone. Also, he had a fumble in a game where both defenses struggled to get stops.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State SBG Free Picks

Of great concern is the plodding Alabama offense’s ability to cover the big College Football Betting number.

Alabama vs. Mississippi State SBG Best Bet: Mississippi State Bulldogs.