UFC 89 Betting Line: Handicap the Odds at SBG Global

February 4th, 2021 UFC Betting

The UFC 89 betting line for the Bisping-Leben matchup has Bisping as a -200 favorite and Leben as a +160 underdog. The UFC betting odds for the Vera-Jardine matchup are somewhat similar, as the current UFC betting line lists Vera as a -180 favorite and Jardine as a +150 underdog. Although most analysts of the UFC 89 betting odds figure both Bisping and Vera have a high probability of winning their fights, the key to effectively handicapping the UFC betting line for either matchup involves handicapping the UFC betting odds, in addition to the fights themselves.

The UFC betting line for the Bisping-Leben fight and the UFC 89 betting line for the Vera-Jardine fight will be handicapped by UFC fans all across the world. The most common mistake that many bettors will make as they evaluate these UFC 89 betting odds is that they will pay too much attention to the fights and not enough attention to the UFC 89 betting odds. The first step in handicapping a UFC 89 betting line does involve evaluating the fight and determining which fighter has the better chance of winning.

However, given the UFC 89 betting line for each fight, you will most likely determine that Bisping and Vera are the two most likely winners. Nevertheless, your handicapping of the UFC 89 betting line does not end there, as you then must decide the actual likelihood that each fighter will win. For example, if you think that Bisping has a 55% chance of winning then that is much different than if you think he has a 95% chance of winning.

Determining each fighter’s likelihood of winning should be central to your analysis of a UFC 89 betting line. Only with this step can you actually apply your handicapping of the fight to the UFC 89 betting line. If you have decided, for instance, that Bisping only has a 55% chance of winning, and then it actually makes sense to wager on his opponent, Leben. Even though you think Leben probably will not win the fight, if you give him a 45% chance of victory and the UFC 89 betting line has established his payoff odds at +160, then that is a great risk to take. In other words, you are handicapping the odds, not just the fight, and this leads you to actually wager on the fighter you believe will lose the fight. On the other hand, if you believe Bisping has a 95% chance of winning the fight then his side of the UFC 89 betting line offers the most value, as the -200 price is still cheap considering his apparently extremely high probability of winning.

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